3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 2001
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 401 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$960/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$144
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$202
Net cashflow
$-172/mo
Annual
$-2,062/yr
Cap rate
4.92%
Cash-on-cash
-4.91%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-172 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (20.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $96k (36.0% below list).
It's been on market 401 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (36.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#531 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Cleveland County Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #76 of 178 in NC (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Casar Elementary (math 72% / reading 47%, grade B-, #205 of 1,410 statewide, top 16%, 278 students, 99% FRL); Burns High (math 42% / reading 59%, grade D+, #306 of 535 statewide, top 57%, 934 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 59% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 461 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cleveland County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 401 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29