5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,567 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 531 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,757/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$907
Tax + insurance
−$240
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$369
Net cashflow
$241/mo
Annual
$2,894/yr
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
5.98%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$48,412
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $173k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $173k).
It's been on market 531 days — a 12% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $152k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,335 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
Harford County Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 24 in MD (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 803 units permitted in Harford County in 2024 (26 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 531 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-REG2JP0H68RS8W
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29