3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built —
· Manufactured
· Active
· 147 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,056/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$292
Tax + insurance
−$93
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$450/mo
Annual
$5,396/yr
Cap rate
15.98%
Cash-on-cash
34.60%
DSCR
2.54
1% rule
1.90%
Cash to close
$15,596
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $56k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $49k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $385 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#5 in WV, #674 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D-.
Monongalia County Schools (urban): math 45% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #1 of 55 in WV (top 2%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: North Elementary School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #15 of 377 statewide, top 5%, 584 students, 0% FRL); Suncrest Middle School (math 46% / reading 57%, grade C, #4 of 109 statewide, top 3%, 501 students, 0% FRL); Morgantown High School (math 49% / reading 73%, grade C+, #2 of 110 statewide, top 1%, 1,859 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 32% district-wide (32 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 23 units permitted in Monongalia County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monongalia County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 3.4% in Morgantown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-REHC6G44GZ4KM7
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29