3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,620 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,593/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$224
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$334
Net cashflow
$-15/mo
Annual
$-174/yr
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.31%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-174/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (1.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (20.4% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $159k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#143 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, crime F.
School City Of Hammond (suburban): math 8% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #289 of 301 in IN (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Benjamin Franklin Elementary Sch (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #921 of 994 statewide, top 94%, 283 students, 69% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-REPPYW5VV5N8V8
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29