2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$835/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$175
Net cashflow
$280/mo
Annual
$3,358/yr
Cap rate
12.40%
Cash-on-cash
21.80%
DSCR
1.97
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($835 rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#161 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Quemado Independent Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #10 of 29 in NM (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP.
Catron County population projected at -52% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant damage to the roof as seen in the independent image.
Major: siding
— Significant damage to the siding as seen in the independent image.
Major: interior walls
— Peeling paint and discoloration on the interior walls as seen in the independent image.
Major: windows
— Damaged windows with peeling paint and discoloration as seen in the independent image.
Major: foundation
— Damaged foundation with visible wear and tear as seen in the independent image.
Major: HVAC unit
— Damaged HVAC unit with visible wear and tear as seen in the independent image.
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29