3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,457 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 265 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,469/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$425
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$308
Net cashflow
$-156/mo
Annual
$-1,870/yr
Cap rate
5.19%
Cash-on-cash
-3.93%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-156 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (16.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (13.6% below list).
It's been on market 265 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $142k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#257 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
Kilgore ISD (town): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #498 of 826 in TX (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Kilgore Pri (664 students, 82% FRL); Kilgore Middle (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 885 students, 75% FRL); Kilgore H S (math 39% / reading 45%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 1,164 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 55% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Rusk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rusk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.2% in Kilgore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 265 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-RG70ZDCQX1CNEA
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29