3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,407/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$215
Tax + insurance
−$68
HOA
−$400
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$295
Net cashflow
$428/mo
Annual
$5,137/yr
Cap rate
18.82%
Cash-on-cash
44.74%
DSCR
2.99
1% rule
3.43%
Cash to close
$11,480
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $41k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $41k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $40k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $283 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Daviess County (suburban): math 33% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #43 of 165 in KY (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
Market conditions: 366 active listings in the ZIP; 226 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 3.4% in Thruston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RGA8029G6KAKB0
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29