8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
6,144 sqft ·
Built 1877
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,126/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$454
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$656
Net cashflow
$1,177/mo
Annual
$14,119/yr
Cap rate
15.12%
Cash-on-cash
31.52%
DSCR
2.40
1% rule
1.95%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $588/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Rosa Parks Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,554 of 1,584 statewide, top 100%, 263 students, 0% FRL); Jesup W. Scott High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 736 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1877 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $136k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1877 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RGMP0Y92B0NN6B
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29