3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,125 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,122/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$341/mo
Annual
$4,089/yr
Cap rate
11.47%
Cash-on-cash
18.48%
DSCR
1.82
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#362 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
Dooly County (rural): math 5% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #172 of 174 in GA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 55 units permitted in Dooly County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dooly County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Older cabinets in poor condition
Major: Appliances
— Outdated and possibly non-functional
Major: Flooring
— Worn carpet and hardwood in poor condition
Major: Paint
— Worn and peeling paint
CashFlowRE · CFR-RGQ4E123NB3JB9
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29