3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,493 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,214/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,940
Tax + insurance
−$617
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$465
Net cashflow
$-808/mo
Annual
$-9,697/yr
Cap rate
3.67%
Cash-on-cash
-9.36%
DSCR
0.58
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$103,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $370k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-808 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (31.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (40.2% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($359k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $221k (40.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Litchfield School District (rural): math 38% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #34 of 98 in NH (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Griffin Memorial School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #97 of 263 statewide, top 42%, 437 students, 10% FRL); Litchfield Middle School (math 35% / reading 53%, grade D, #38 of 96 statewide, top 40%, 355 students, 9% FRL); Campbell High School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #27 of 90 statewide, top 29%, 412 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 9% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 981 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (381 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hillsborough County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.8% in Litchfield — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($156k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RGY496AQ613BAA
· Data 2 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29