None bd · None ba ·
2,700 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,669/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,391
Tax + insurance
−$1,022
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,240
Net cashflow
$-984/mo
Annual
$-11,807/yr
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.64%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$448,000
Investor read
This is a multifamily listed at $1.60M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-984 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.43M (10.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.07M (33.3% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.50M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.07M (33.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $171k of equity ($11k loan paydown + $160k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $560k; list at $1.60M implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$275k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,669/mo this rent would consume 386% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 10286% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-RGYMPE0FF081PA
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29