2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,088 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$952/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$206/mo
Annual
$2,474/yr
Cap rate
9.42%
Cash-on-cash
11.18%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($952 rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#194 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Philadelphia Public School District (town): math 23% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #92 of 130 in MS (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Neshoba County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Neshoba County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Overgrown lawn and debris
— Significant overgrowth and debris indicate major neglect
Major: General exterior maintenance
— Overgrown lawn and debris suggest major neglect
CashFlowRE · CFR-RH93787W7MDFV8
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29