1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Manufactured
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$995/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$249
Tax + insurance
−$42
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$209
Net cashflow
$495/mo
Annual
$5,942/yr
Cap rate
18.80%
Cash-on-cash
44.67%
DSCR
2.99
1% rule
2.09%
Cash to close
$13,300
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $48k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $495 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $48k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($328 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#186 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Ray Unified District (4438) (rural): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #318 of 501 in AZ (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RHGKH06EABRND8
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29