2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,692 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Active
· 121 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,154/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,618
Tax + insurance
−$1,150
HOA
−$300
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,082
Net cashflow
$-997/mo
Annual
$-11,963/yr
Cap rate
4.56%
Cash-on-cash
-6.19%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$193,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $690k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-997 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $546k (20.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $515k (25.3% below list).
It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($607k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $515k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $36k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#473 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, cost of living F.
Capistrano Unified (suburban): math 50% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #64 of 517 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Truman Benedict Elementary (600 students, 18% FRL); Bernice Ayer Middle (883 students, 40% FRL); San Clemente High (math 51% / reading 78%, grade B-, #165 of 1,170 statewide, top 15%, 2,838 students, 36% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 53 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$58k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 1.5% in San Clemente — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($182k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29