3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,104 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 459 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$970/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$204
Net cashflow
$-125/mo
Annual
$-1,505/yr
Cap rate
5.25%
Cash-on-cash
-3.71%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-125 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (15.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (33.1% below list).
It's been on market 459 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (33.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#274 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
Mott-Regent 1 (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #132 of 169 in ND (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP.
Hettinger County population projected at +68% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $4k; list at $145k implies a 3178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 459 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RJANXPA3EYWRX8
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29