2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 294 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$852/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$179
Net cashflow
$-87/mo
Annual
$-1,044/yr
Cap rate
5.34%
Cash-on-cash
-3.39%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-87 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $97k (11.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (22.5% below list).
It's been on market 294 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#15 in AR, #4,397 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Clinton School District (rural): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #41 of 238 in AR (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Van Buren County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.6% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 294 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RJBZCG91PB2ZPS
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29