935 3000 #56

Layton, UT 84040

$29,900D+

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Built 1984 · Manufactured · Active · 142 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,784/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$157
• Tax + insurance: −$50
• HOA: −$928
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$375
• Net cashflow: $275/mo
• Annual: $3,296/yr
• Cap rate: 17.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 39.37%
• DSCR: 2.75
• 1% rule: 5.97%
• Cash to close: $8,372

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
• It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 86/100 on livability (#11 in UT, #457 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
• Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Mountain View School (math 50% / reading 50%, grade D+, #161 of 585 statewide, top 29%, 781 students, 21% FRL); North Layton Jr High (math 39% / reading 40%, grade F, #75 of 138 statewide, top 56%, 1,009 students, 30% FRL); Northridge High (math 24% / reading 43%, grade F, #106 of 171 statewide, top 62%, 1,954 students, 23% FRL).
• Watch-outs: HOA is 52% of rent.
• Market conditions: 182 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($128k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.