3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,402 sqft ·
Built 2024
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,610/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,017
Tax + insurance
−$323
HOA
−$46
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$338
Net cashflow
$-115/mo
Annual
$-1,379/yr
Cap rate
5.58%
Cash-on-cash
-2.54%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$54,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $194k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (8.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (17.0% below list).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $161k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
Southside ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #771 of 826 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-7.2%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RJNMXG9F9H0BCQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29