3168 Corley St NW

Covington, GA 30014

$599,000C-

8 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,150 sqft · Built 2000 · MultiFamily · Active · 19 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $6,055/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,141
• Tax + insurance: −$480
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,272
• Net cashflow: $1,163/mo
• Annual: $13,951/yr
• Cap rate: 8.62%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.32%
• DSCR: 1.37
• 1% rule: 1.01%
• Cash to close: $167,720

Investor read

• This is a 4 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $599k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $291/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $599k).
• It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($590k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $590k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#396 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Newton County (suburban): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 174 in GA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Porterdale Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,092 of 1,228 statewide, top 91%, 417 students, 85% FRL); Clements Middle School (math 6% / reading 17%, grade F, #424 of 470 statewide, top 90%, 754 students, 85% FRL); Eastside High School (math 7% / reading 17%, grade F, #342 of 424 statewide, top 81%, 1,621 students, 46% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 479 active listings in the ZIP; 1,480 units permitted in Newton County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Newton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $262k; list at $599k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.8% in Covington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $6,055/mo this rent would consume 101% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 1934% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.