2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,016 sqft ·
Built 1938
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,617/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$229
HOA
−$35
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$340
Net cashflow
$-219/mo
Annual
$-2,622/yr
Cap rate
5.18%
Cash-on-cash
-3.99%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$65,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-219 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (16.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (31.1% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $162k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#98 in MI, #2,255 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Waterford School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #285 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 130 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
13 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 4% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $117k; list at $235k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.9% in Village of Clarkston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RJZBCT95BJ3MF8
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29