4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,697 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,771/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,862
Tax + insurance
−$738
HOA
−$33
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$582
Net cashflow
$-443/mo
Annual
$-5,322/yr
Cap rate
4.79%
Cash-on-cash
-5.35%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$99,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $355k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-443 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (22.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $277k (21.9% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $277k (22.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#64 in MI, #1,364 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D, health & safety F.
Farmington Public School District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #78 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Wood Creek Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,035 of 1,397 statewide, top 77%, 401 students, 43% FRL); Warner Middle School (math 37% / reading 56%, grade D+, #150 of 493 statewide, top 31%, 571 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 19% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Farmington Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $223k; list at $355k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.4% in Farmington Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RMC55K3VJ5NNEX
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29