2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,849/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$288
HOA
−$250
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$388
Net cashflow
$-126/mo
Annual
$-1,507/yr
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.69%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-126 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (11.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (7.5% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $178k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#42 in CT, #2,997 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute D-.
Naugatuck School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #105 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.4% in Naugatuck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RMKJC96N3DCC1S
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29