1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1964
· Townhouse
· Active
· 173 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,608/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$325
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$338
Net cashflow
$-77/mo
Annual
$-928/yr
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.70%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $195k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-928/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (5.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (17.5% below list).
It's been on market 173 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $161k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mockingbird El (math 63% / reading 65%, grade B, #283 of 4,322 statewide, top 7%, 673 students, 23% FRL); J L Long Middle (math 36% / reading 38%, grade F, #756 of 1,662 statewide, top 47%, 1,127 students, 60% FRL); Woodrow Wilson H S (math 56% / reading 41%, grade D, #560 of 1,632 statewide, top 35%, 1,809 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 40% FRL vs 83% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Dallas ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 430 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 39d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 173 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint
— There are some minor scuffs and marks on the interior walls.
Minor: Exterior siding
— There are some visible signs of wear on the exterior siding.
Minor: Windows
— There are some visible signs of wear on the windows.
Minor: Landscaping
— Some areas of the landscaping could be improved for curb appeal.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RMPN3J88NTB6W4
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29