4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,937 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,248
Tax + insurance
−$314
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$378
Net cashflow
$-139/mo
Annual
$-1,673/yr
Cap rate
5.59%
Cash-on-cash
-2.51%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$66,612
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $238k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (10.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (24.3% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $180k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#359 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Port Clinton City (town): math 55% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #342 of 656 in OH (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Bataan Memorial Primary School (352 students, 79% FRL); Port Clinton Middle School (math 59% / reading 64%, grade B+, #248 of 654 statewide, top 38%, 350 students, 45% FRL); Port Clinton High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #390 of 781 statewide, top 54%, 509 students, 38% FRL).
Market conditions: 224 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 128 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ottawa County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.4% in Port Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RN1K217H710R9J
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29