4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,745 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,951/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,935
Tax + insurance
−$652
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$830
Net cashflow
$534/mo
Annual
$6,410/yr
Cap rate
8.03%
Cash-on-cash
6.20%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$103,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $369k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $534 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $369k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($358k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $358k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#26 in IL, #464 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Evanston Twp Hsd 202 (urban): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #54 of 620 in IL (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Evanston Twp High School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #44 of 693 statewide, top 7%, 3,691 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $148k; list at $369k implies a 149% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.0% in Evanston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,951/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 2996% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RN8S7Y8WEKT8EQ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29