3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,923 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,633/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$331
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$343
Net cashflow
$-169/mo
Annual
$-2,023/yr
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.36%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-169 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (13.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (24.0% below list).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $163k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#24 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
N. Little Rock School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #191 of 238 in AR (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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