3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,902 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 300 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,307/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$252
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$275
Net cashflow
$-5/mo
Annual
$-66/yr
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.16%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-66/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (0.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (12.8% below list).
It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#627 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Hobart (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 270 in OK (top 41%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Hobart Es (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #255 of 845 statewide, top 35%, 366 students, 0% FRL); Hobart Hs (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #332 of 447 statewide, top 78%, 197 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 63% district-wide (63 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $68k; list at $150k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 8.3% in Hobart — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29