3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,508 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,693/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$401
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$356
Net cashflow
$470/mo
Annual
$5,645/yr
Cap rate
12.64%
Cash-on-cash
22.65%
DSCR
2.01
1% rule
1.90%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Ithaca City School District (urban): math 57% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #195 of 590 in NY (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Caroline Elementary School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #1,085 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 293 students, 32% FRL); Dewitt Middle School (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B, #161 of 729 statewide, top 24%, 478 students, 38% FRL); Ithaca Senior High School (math 95% / reading 95%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 1,341 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 382 units permitted in Tompkins County in 2024 (208 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tompkins County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RP00SQ334X2F77
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29