3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,290 sqft ·
Built 2003
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,447/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,782
Tax + insurance
−$625
HOA
−$35
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$514
Net cashflow
$-510/mo
Annual
$-6,115/yr
Cap rate
4.49%
Cash-on-cash
-6.42%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$95,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-510 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (26.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (28.0% below list).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $245k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#48 in TX, #1,943 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
Frisco ISD (suburban): math 64% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #14 of 826 in TX (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Early Childhood School (665 students, 25% FRL); Wester Middle (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A, #63 of 1,662 statewide, top 4%, 843 students, 14% FRL); Centennial H S (math 75% / reading 87%, grade A, #35 of 1,632 statewide, top 2%, 2,082 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 665 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.2% in Frisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($167k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RP3K068J20XVM4
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29