3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,184 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,208/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$359
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$464
Net cashflow
$-30/mo
Annual
$-365/yr
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.48%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-30 ($-365/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (2.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (18.2% below list).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $221k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#39 in GA, #4,689 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Walton County (rural): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #31 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 847 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 677 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walton County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $163k; list at $270k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.0% in Loganville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RPDJGK3T4QBQQ8
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29