3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,050 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,842/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$416
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$387
Net cashflow
$-272/mo
Annual
$-3,259/yr
Cap rate
4.99%
Cash-on-cash
-4.66%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-272 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (15.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (26.3% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $184k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $19k; list at $250k implies a 1215% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RQ08G8FE0ZPX7B
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29