3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
964 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,719/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$377
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$361
Net cashflow
$-63/mo
Annual
$-757/yr
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.36%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-757/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (5.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (13.6% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $172k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#44 in MI, #939 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Grand Rapids Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #451 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Cesar E Chavez Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 412 students, 93% FRL); Burton Middle School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #488 of 493 statewide, top 100%, 482 students, 89% FRL); Union High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #699 of 713 statewide, top 99%, 922 students, 88% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 6% at this address vs 22% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Grand Rapids Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 184 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 5% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.5% in Grand Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RR9N7694PG0K0J
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29