3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,777 sqft ·
Built 1911
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 143 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,278/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$478
Net cashflow
$1,523/mo
Annual
$18,278/yr
Cap rate
51.99%
Cash-on-cash
163.20%
DSCR
8.26
1% rule
5.70%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $762/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 52.0% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,278/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 1568% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-RS3FWHD0AY6V9S
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29