3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,505 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,509/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,415
Tax + insurance
−$187
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$527
Net cashflow
$379/mo
Annual
$4,553/yr
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.02%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$75,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $251k (7.0% below list).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $251k (7.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#139 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Harrison Elementary (math 20% / reading 19%, grade F, #654 of 952 statewide, top 72%, 1,013 students, 0% FRL); Brown Middle School (math 14% / reading 15%, grade F, #231 of 333 statewide, top 70%, 344 students, 0% FRL); Central High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #183 of 332 statewide, top 59%, 749 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hamilton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.3% in Harrison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RSQBD20C7AH08V
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29