1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
774 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Pending
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,434/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$616
Tax + insurance
−$196
HOA
−$367
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$301
Net cashflow
$-46/mo
Annual
$-552/yr
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.68%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$32,900
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $118k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-552/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (5.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $812 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#62 in FL, #1,095 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities D-.
Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Forest City Elementary School (math 54% / reading 60%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 793 students, 75% FRL); Teague Middle School (math 54% / reading 50%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 1,206 students, 62% FRL); Lake Brantley High School (math 38% / reading 56%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,719 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 38% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.3% in Altamonte Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown grass and bushes need trimming and planting
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown grass and bushes need trimming and planting
CashFlowRE · CFR-RTKK7Q8HDEH6CE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29