2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
768 sqft ·
Built 2012
· Manufactured
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$854/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$179
Net cashflow
$157/mo
Annual
$1,880/yr
Cap rate
8.80%
Cash-on-cash
8.95%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($854 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#88 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, commute B+; Watch: housing C-, employment D, crime F.
Williamsburg 01 (rural): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #74 of 80 in SC (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Hemingway Mb Lee Middle (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #191 of 229 statewide, top 85%, 132 students, 98% FRL); Kingstree High (720 students, 100% FRL).
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Williamsburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Williamsburg County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.4% in Kingstree — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— The cabinets are visibly worn and need replacement or repair.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— The fixtures are outdated and need replacement.
Major: Flooring
— The carpet is worn and needs replacement.
Major: Paint
— The interior walls and exterior siding need repainting.
Major: Landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and needs trimming and decorative elements.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29