3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
798 sqft ·
Built 2008
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,764/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$94
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$370
Net cashflow
$513/mo
Annual
$6,159/yr
Cap rate
10.40%
Cash-on-cash
14.67%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#120 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Little Axe (rural): math 10% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #236 of 270 in OK (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Little Axe Es (math 10% / reading 14%, grade F, #667 of 845 statewide, top 82%, 587 students, 0% FRL); Little Axe Hs (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #332 of 447 statewide, top 78%, 331 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 63% district-wide (63 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 592 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cleveland County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RVDQBE4GMEJCJV
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29