4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,519 sqft ·
Built 1869
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,135/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,561
Tax + insurance
−$1,184
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,078
Net cashflow
$-688/mo
Annual
$-8,258/yr
Cap rate
5.08%
Cash-on-cash
-4.34%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$190,120
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $679k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-688 ($-8k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-344/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $557k (17.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $514k (24.4% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($659k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $514k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#479 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
Clarkstown Central School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #66 of 590 in NY (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Lakewood Elementary School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #591 of 2,108 statewide, top 31%, 430 students, 23% FRL); Felix Festa Achievement Middle School (math 57% / reading 77%, grade A-, #101 of 729 statewide, top 15%, 640 students, 19% FRL); Clarkstown North Senior High School (math 97% / reading 87%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,234 students, 21% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1869 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $280k; list at $679k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.3% in Congers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1869 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-RVNWEXC59AZH9N
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29