2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
880 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Other
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,821/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$174
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$383
Net cashflow
$-125/mo
Annual
$-1,502/yr
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.02%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-125 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (8.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (31.3% below list).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $182k (31.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#470 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Blackduck Public School District (rural): math 33% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #249 of 301 in MN (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 165 units permitted in Beltrami County in 2024 (81 in 5+ unit buildings).
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29