3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,346 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Townhouse
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,683/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,241
Tax + insurance
−$394
HOA
−$118
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$354
Net cashflow
$-424/mo
Annual
$-5,082/yr
Cap rate
4.15%
Cash-on-cash
-7.67%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$66,265
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $237k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-424 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $175k (25.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (28.9% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $168k (28.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#52 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gilbert Elementary (math 33% / reading 26%, grade F, #399 of 597 statewide, top 69%, 768 students, 45% FRL); Gilbert Middle (math 26% / reading 36%, grade F, #128 of 229 statewide, top 58%, 822 students, 40% FRL); Gilbert High (math 37% / reading 83%, grade C+, #109 of 196 statewide, top 55%, 1,118 students, 38% FRL).
Market conditions: 280 active listings in the ZIP; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 4% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RWS2E45WYVRYCH
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29