5 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,336 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 471 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,398/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$515
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$-197/mo
Annual
$-2,365/yr
Cap rate
8.13%
Cash-on-cash
6.56%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-197 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (23.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (6.8% below list).
It's been on market 471 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#199 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Somerset County Public Schools (town): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #22 of 24 in MD (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Somerset 6/7 Intermediate School (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #170 of 225 statewide, top 77%, 396 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Somerset County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 1.6% in Crisfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 471 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29