3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,110 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,615/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,439
Tax + insurance
−$660
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$759
Net cashflow
$-242/mo
Annual
$-2,909/yr
Cap rate
5.67%
Cash-on-cash
-2.23%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$130,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $465k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-242 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $422k (9.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $361k (22.3% below list).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($437k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $361k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#14 in MA, #588 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Medway (suburban): math 55% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #55 of 302 in MA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Burke/Memorial Elementary School (math 67% / reading 73%, grade A-, #61 of 938 statewide, top 7%, 484 students, 0% FRL); Medway Middle (math 45% / reading 58%, grade C, #75 of 305 statewide, top 25%, 653 students, 0% FRL); Medway High (math 82% / reading 87%, grade A, #22 of 343 statewide, top 8%, 613 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 958 units permitted in Norfolk County in 2024 (305 in 5+ unit buildings).
Norfolk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $285k; list at $465k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.2% in Franklin Town — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29