3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,968 sqft ·
Built 1910
· Other
· Active
· 232 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,822/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$290
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$383
Net cashflow
$473/mo
Annual
$5,673/yr
Cap rate
11.21%
Cash-on-cash
17.55%
DSCR
1.78
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 92/100 on livability (#10 in PA, #37 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D+.
Bellefonte Area SD (town): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #140 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 198 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $13k; list at $129k implies a 892% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.6% in Bellefonte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RYZZ3B09260WTH
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29