2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,204 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,632/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$518
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$553
Net cashflow
$-12/mo
Annual
$-139/yr
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.17%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-139/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $298k (0.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (12.2% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $263k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#155 in NY, #2,400 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D.
Pittsford Central School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #34 of 590 in NY (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.5% in East Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RZ8JEV0E8ARY9D
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29