3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,712 sqft ·
Built 1991
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,024/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$562
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$425
Net cashflow
$-510/mo
Annual
$-6,117/yr
Cap rate
4.22%
Cash-on-cash
-7.41%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $295k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-510 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $205k (30.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (31.4% below list).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#389 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Pate'S Creek Elementary School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #689 of 1,228 statewide, top 58%, 533 students, 62% FRL); Dutchtown Middle School (math 21% / reading 37%, grade F, #258 of 470 statewide, top 55%, 1,092 students, 50% FRL); Dutchtown High (math 32% / reading 38%, grade F, #84 of 424 statewide, top 20%, 1,861 students, 43% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 611 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $173k; list at $295k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29