2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Condo
· Pending
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,242/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$294
Tax + insurance
−$93
HOA
−$486
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$108/mo
Annual
$1,301/yr
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.30%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
2.22%
Cash to close
$15,680
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $56k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $108 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $51k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#315 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Fraser Public Schools (suburban): math 31% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #244 of 540 in MI (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $56k implies a 460% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.3% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RZZ2NW4A8WD85D
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29