2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,191 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 116 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,844/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$400
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$387
Net cashflow
$-202/mo
Annual
$-2,424/yr
Cap rate
5.28%
Cash-on-cash
-3.61%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-202 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (12.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (23.2% below list).
It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $184k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in AL, #827 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Vestavia Hills City (suburban): math 63% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #2 of 129 in AL (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Vestavia Hills Elementary Cahaba Heights (math 57% / reading 82%, grade A-, #28 of 627 statewide, top 4%, 474 students, 16% FRL); Liberty Park Middle School (math 58% / reading 85%, grade A, #2 of 257 statewide, top 0%, 503 students, 10% FRL); Vestavia Hills High School (math 71% / reading 69%, grade B+, #3 of 305 statewide, top 1%, 1,578 students, 10% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 73 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $150k; list at $240k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.5% in Vestavia Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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