4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,584 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,427/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$138
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$300
Net cashflow
$260/mo
Annual
$3,122/yr
Cap rate
8.54%
Cash-on-cash
8.02%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $139k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#18 in SD, #2,969 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, amenities D+.
Mitchell School District 17-2 (town): math 55% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #11 of 59 in SD (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 48 units permitted in Davison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davison County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.5% in Mitchell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S0PZQEDTY7V4AN
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29