154 E Warren St

Cadiz, OH 43907

$35,000B-

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,168 sqft · Built 1860 · SingleFamily · Active · 18 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,038/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$184
• Tax + insurance: −$60
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$218
• Net cashflow: $576/mo
• Annual: $6,909/yr
• Cap rate: 26.03%
• Cash-on-cash: 70.50%
• DSCR: 4.14
• 1% rule: 2.96%
• Cash to close: $9,800

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $576 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#442 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Harrison Hills City (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #522 of 656 in OH (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Harrison Central Elementary School (math 37% / reading 54%, grade D-, #980 of 1,584 statewide, top 62%, 807 students, 51% FRL); Harrison Central Jr./Sr. High School (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #522 of 781 statewide, top 67%, 599 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
• Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Harrison County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $22k; list at $35k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.