3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,114 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 104 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,769/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$342
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$371
Net cashflow
$-19/mo
Annual
$-233/yr
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.41%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$57,397
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-233/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (1.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (13.7% below list).
It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $177k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#694 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Mossy Head School (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B, #525 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 439 students, 86% FRL); Emerald Coast Middle School (math 70% / reading 65%, grade A-, #77 of 571 statewide, top 14%, 868 students, 24% FRL); Walton High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 856 students, 65% FRL).
Market conditions: 423 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.8% in DeFuniak Springs — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S2GNZ468N9C4QX
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29